Derby 2026
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PP 5

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G '22 · ARMY MULE × RUN CARRIE RUN

Trainer: TOMLINSON MICHAEL A · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

84.8

Speed fig

34.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.34
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.55
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.34
  • Days Since Last Race +0.22
  • Starts Last 180d +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.93
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.29
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.22
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree -0.13
  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-25 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 0.5 90 86 4p;bid 3/16;left lead
2026-03-13 TP 6f Dirt 2 1.5 84 85 Track 4p;rally;left ld
2025-12-27 FG 6f Dirt 4 5.0 81 87 Slow; bmp3/16; imprvd
2025-11-26 CD 6f Dirt 3 1.8 85 88 Off slow;8p upr;rally
2025-11-02 CD 6f Dirt 2 0.8 77 86 Bob/off slow;2w;6p upr
2025-09-14 CD 7f Dirt 4 6.5 69 86 Steady 5/8;3-5p;ran on
2025-08-01 CNL 7f Dirt 5 8.5 71 84 Tracked;bid4w;weakened
2025-07-12 CNL 6f Dirt 3 5.8 76 84 Slow start;;by-fader
2025-06-05 CD 6.5f Dirt 2 3.3 78 86 4-3w;bid;cleard;2d bst
2025-04-17 KEE 6f Dirt 3 11.3 72 93 Off slow;gain 4-6p;lug