John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 3

FLASH OF FREEDOM

F '23 · CONSTITUTION × FLASHY CAMPAIGN

Trainer: SIMS MATTHEW P · Jockey: MACHADO LUAN

Today's prediction

76.4

Speed fig

23.4%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.00
  • Today Track Code +0.41
  • Last Speed Fig +0.23
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.18
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -1.31
  • Today Field Size -0.97
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.36
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.25
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.18

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-08 KEE 1.06m Dirt 2 2.5 82 85 2p-ins;cght upr;2d bst
2025-11-19 CD 1m Dirt 6 12.5 65 81 Stalk 3p;5-6p1/4;nobid
2025-10-18 KEE 6f Dirt 4 2.3 81 86 4-5p;ran on willingly