John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 2

FIRST HILL

M '20 · WEST COAST × SINGLET

Trainer: CUNNINGHAM S JADE · Jockey: ARRIETA FRANCISCO

Today's prediction

75.6

Speed fig

45.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.26
  • Today Field Size +0.26
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.19
  • Distance Change From Last +0.19
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.37
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.36
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.26
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.26
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.22

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 OP 6f Dirt 3 2.0 72 80 Ins-2p;battled;out-fin
2026-03-22 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.8 81 80 Ins; cued1/4; 2nd best
2026-02-21 OP 6f Dirt 8 9.5 69 89 2-4p;gave way stretch
2026-02-08 OP 6f Dirt 12 12.8 64 84 Stalk4p;cued5/16;yield
2025-12-26 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.8 83 80 Stalk3w;bid;2nd best
2025-12-14 OP 6f Dirt 6 8.3 71 84 3-4 turn; little left
2025-09-23 IND 6f Dirt 3 4.5 77 76 5p;bid5/8;duel;no mtch
2025-08-21 IND 6f Dirt 8 18.8 60 80 Awk;led rail;gv way1/4
2025-08-07 HAW 5.5f Dirt 6 14.3 61 85 Bmp;sqzd st;angl 5wd
2025-06-26 HAW 6f Dirt 6 11.5 62 85 Long duel ins;tired