John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Belmont at The Big A R6

PP 3

FIRE PIT

C '22 · CAIRO PRINCE × TRUE MARTHA

Trainer: PRECIADO GUADALUPE · Jockey: DAVIS DYLAN

Today's prediction

83.7

Speed fig

35.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.62
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.49
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.70
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.62
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.55

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.68
  • Starts Last 180d -0.25
  • Num Career Starts -0.23
  • Last Finish Pos -0.15
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-24 MVR 6f Dirt 8 15.0 74 94 Pace rail; yield turn
2025-10-19 BAQ 6f Turf 8 4.5 84 90 Ins; weakened stretch
2025-09-20 PRX 6f Dirt 3 3.3 95 100 Pressed2-3w;late fade
2025-08-18 PRX 6.5f Dirt 2 0.5 91 92 Led; hooked; gamely
2025-07-18 MTH 6f Dirt 3 11.0 74 94 Broke through gate
2025-05-28 PRX 1.04m Dirt 1 3.0 84 92 Clear; widened driving
2025-04-18 GP 5f Turf 4 3.3 79 87 Bmp brk;svdgnd;mild gn
2025-03-01 GP 1m Turf 10 14.5 79 92 Outrun 2-3wd
2025-02-01 GP 7f Dirt 4 15.8 76 91 Failed to menace; 2wd
2024-12-30 PRX 7f Dirt 6 10.0 73 83 Led outside; gave way