John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 3

FINAL ACCORD

F '23 · WAR OF WILL × CLOSING STATEMENT

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

85.9

Speed fig

7.9%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.53
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.83
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.67
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.50
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.49

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Purse Log10 -0.39
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.29
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.14
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.11
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-10-31 DMR 1m Turf 9 8.5 82 93 Waited ins-2w2nd;faded
2025-10-02 BAQ 6f Turf 1 1.0 87 83 5w uppr; up last jumps
2025-09-11 WO 5f Turf 1 4.3 86 82 Move in1/4;going away