John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 11

FEISTY RED HEAD

F '23 · CURLIN × TIN TYPE GAL

Trainer: GLATT MARK · Jockey: SMITH M E

Today's prediction

82.1

Speed fig

28.1%

In-the-money

Last 3 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.41
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.83
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.67
  • Last Speed Fig +0.38
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 +0.38

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.50
  • Today Post Position -0.30
  • Distance Change From Last -0.28
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.22
  • Today Field Size -0.22

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-29 SA 7f Dirt 1 0.5 86 89 Stalked ins;rail rally
2026-02-07 SA 6.5f Dirt 3 6.3 69 88 Ins;angled out;gain3rd
2026-01-08 SA 6f Dirt 2 2.3 80 90 Ins-2wd;rallied for2nd