John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 2

FASTA LAVISTA BABY

M '21 · TAKE CHARGE INDY × VERY FASHIONABLE

Trainer: BROWN PAUL H JR · Jockey: MEZA JJ

Today's prediction

65.2

Speed fig

36.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.96
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.35
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.33
  • Today Track Code +0.29
  • Today Post Position +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.86
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.62
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -1.06
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.63
  • Last Speed Fig -0.57

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-06 MVR 1m Dirt 6 19.8 47 78 Vied inside; tired
2025-11-22 CD 1.06m Dirt 9 40.3 37 81 Stalk 2w;wknd btw 5/16
2025-10-29 CD 1m Dirt 12 41.0 31 79 Ins foe; faltered 3/8
2025-10-03 KEE 1.06m Dirt 3 12.3 79 85 Pressed 3p;held show
2025-09-19 CD 1m Dirt 5 7.0 73 79 Vied outs winner;faded
2025-08-01 ELP 1.06m Turf 79 Pulled up; eq amb
2025-06-27 CD 1.06m Dirt 8 12.5 71 91 Never a factor
2025-05-24 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 0.3 78 80 2w;outkck;kept on;edge
2025-04-25 KEE 1.06m Dirt 2 0.5 77 83 Stlk 2w;chsd;bid;outkk
2025-04-09 MVR 6f Dirt 8 11.0 67 81 Chased; faded