John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 2

FAST JOKER

G '22 · PRACTICAL JOKE × MY LUCKY SPELL

Trainer: HARTMAN CHRIS · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

71.1

Speed fig

41.5%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Post Position +0.25
  • Today Track Code +0.18
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.18
  • Today Field Size +0.15
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.42
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.36
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.26
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.24
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-08 CD 1.06m Dirt 3 3.5 72 82 Ins;headd 1/8;gave way
2026-04-19 OP 1.06m Dirt 4 1.3 74 77 3p;bid btwn1/4;kick on
2026-04-10 OP 1m Dirt 3 1.3 67 82 3-2p;bid ins1/8;kpt on
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 4 3.5 72 83 Off slw;angld4w;imprvd
2026-02-08 OP 1.06m Dirt 10 21.3 61 82 Rated 5p; never threat
2025-06-06 DEL 1.04m Turf 12 14.8 57 81 Off pace; no factor
2025-05-03 OP 1.06m Dirt 6 7.5 78 87 Evenly 2p; no kick
2025-04-19 OP 1.06m Dirt 5 6.5 71 94 Swung 4w 1/4;flattened
2025-03-06 TP 1m Dirt 5 13.5 72 86 Slow start no threat
2025-02-15 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 8.5 77 88 4w 2nd turn;nod 3rd