John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 7

FAST GUN

F '23 · GUN RUNNER × RUNNING WILD

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ASMUSSEN KEITH J

Today's prediction

78.1

Speed fig

30.7%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.80
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.80
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.53
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.36
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.29

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -1.02
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.61
  • Today Post Position -0.26
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.25
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 KEE 7f Dirt 2 2.3 84 88 Ins;2-3p upr;ran on
2026-03-13 FG 6f Dirt 4 4.0 80 87 Swung 4w;evenly lane