Derby 2026
← Race

PP 7

FASHION AFFIRMED

M '21 · KARAKONTIE × FASHION'S CROSSING

Trainer: GOROSTIETA GUBER · Jockey: HERNANDEZ JANN N

Today's prediction

69.7

Speed fig

13.1%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.40
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.17
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.15
  • Speed Fig Trend +0.09
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.09

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -9.90
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.30
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.08
  • Max Speed Fig Career -1.00
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.43

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-19 TP 1m Dirt 5 7.5 72 78 Ins;chsd;yield shw lat
2026-03-07 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 2.8 70 74 Bmpd btw st;4p;rallied
2026-02-06 TP 1m Dirt 5 8.0 68 77 2-4p; no menace
2026-01-10 TP 1m Dirt 2 0.8 76 74 Bmp;2p;5p3/16;bid;duel
2025-02-12 TP 1m Dirt 2 5.3 73 75 Angled out no match
2025-01-26 TP 1m Dirt 3 1.3 72 75 Ins run evenly for 3rd
2024-12-19 TP 1.06m Dirt 9 12.3 67 80 Slow stride; mid move
2024-11-02 CD 1.13m Turf 11 13.5 61 81 2wd btwn;steadied 1/4
2024-10-15 IND 1.04m Dirt 5 26.0 43 74 Inside;gave way5/16
2024-09-25 IND 1.06m Dirt 3 5.3 65 72 Awk;inside;gain show