John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 1

FANCY CABER NEIGH

M '20 · MENDELSSOHN × FANCY POINT

Trainer: MOREY WILLIAM E · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

83.9

Speed fig

33.5%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.39
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.85
  • Last Speed Fig +0.70
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.34
  • Class Par Trend +0.29

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.53
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.52
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.26
  • Distance Change From Last -0.13
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-29 CD 5f Turf 2 1.0 87 87 Ins;aim 3p;kept at bay
2026-02-06 TP 6.5f Dirt 9 30.3 44 90 Vied 2w;falterd btw1/4
2025-12-20 TP 6f Dirt 2 0.1 88 90 Prmpt ins;cleard;naild
2025-08-30 KD 6.5f Turf 1 1.0 85 87 Enough left;held sway
2025-06-15 LS 5f Turf 1 0.5 84 79 Kept on; held
2023-09-13 KD 6.5f Turf 1 2.5 88 82 Held well; hand ride
2023-08-06 ELP 5.5f Turf 3 0.5 82 81 Vie 2wd;led 1/8;bested
2023-06-27 IND 5f Turf 2 0.8 69 74 Clrd;dueld;yield;2best
2023-06-02 CD 5.5f Turf 5 6.5 70 88 Set pace; weakened
2023-04-19 KEE 1m Turf 5 5.0 74 80 Ins;bid 2wbtw2nd;caved
2023-03-25 TP 1m Dirt 4 7.5 79 77 Dueled to 1/4p empty