John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 10

FACTOR ANALYSIS

H '21 · VINO ROSSO × TWO STEP SONG

Trainer: KENNEALLY EDDIE · Jockey: CURTIS BEN

Today's prediction

84.7

Speed fig

32.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.75
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.06
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.98
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.72
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.68

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.29
  • Today Field Size -0.20
  • Distance Change From Last -0.19
  • Num Career Starts -0.15
  • Last Finish Pos -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-16 KEE 1.50m Turf 7 5.5 87 Rank;3-2p;prs;fade btw
2026-03-06 TP 1m Dirt 7 12.8 77 92 2p; outrun
2025-11-13 CD 1.06m Turf 4 3.5 84 Tght;3w;ran on;mss shw
2025-10-12 KEE 1.50m Turf 5 4.3 91 Gained 4w;led 5/16-1/8
2025-09-04 KD 1.50m Turf 4 3.8 80 91 3p;angl in 1/8;flattnd
2025-07-26 CNL 1.19m Turf 5 8.8 73 92 Tracked2w;weakened
2025-06-21 CD 1.06m Turf 7 4.5 81 92 4p1st;8p upr;no bid
2025-05-10 CD 1.13m Turf 7 3.5 90 91 2wbtw;3-4p upr;no bid
2025-02-08 TAM 1.13m Turf 1 0.1 82 86 3w1/4;bid4w;came back
2024-12-20 TAM 1.13m Turf 1 4.8 81 81 4w;drw off;drvg