John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 8

EXPRESS SUCCESS

F '24 · GUN RUNNER × SPEEDINTHRUTHECITY

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

69.0

Speed fig

46.5%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Dirt Pedigree +0.22
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree +0.20
  • Run Style P +0.18
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.15
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -1.31
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.12
  • BRIS Prime Power -1.12
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.83
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.71

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-22 KEE 4.5f Dirt 3 6.5 62 82 Track 2p;best of rest