John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 6

EXECUTIVE

C '22 · CONSTITUTION × LOW PRESSURE ZONE

Trainer: MOTT WILLIAM I · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

78.4

Speed fig

29.6%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.13
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.58
  • Today Track Code +0.38
  • Last Speed Fig +0.21
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.20

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.78
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.37
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.36
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.20
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-14 GP 1m Turf 2 3.3 83 85 2-3p;swung4w;ran on
2025-04-13 KEE 1.06m Turf 10 12.3 70 87 3p;chasd 5-6p2nd;faded
2025-03-08 GP 1m Turf 3 1.0 88 86 Rail; 4wd 3/16; rally
2024-11-22 CD 1.06m Dirt 7 11.5 65 85 Tracked 4p;faded 5p1/4
2024-10-12 KEE 1.06m Turf 3 3.3 74 80 Broke out;5-4w;flattnd
2024-08-31 SAR 1.06m Turf 3 1.5 74 82 Lunge st; good finish