John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 10

EVELYN LOUISE

F '22 · CARAVAGGIO × YOUNGEST DAUGHTER

Trainer: OLIVER VICTORIA · Jockey: GUTIERREZ MARIO

Today's prediction

73.6

Speed fig

20.8%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Last Speed Fig +0.24
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.22
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.21
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.21
  • Is Lone Speed +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -0.94
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.86
  • Today Field Size -0.57
  • Today Post Position -0.42
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.41

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-02 IND 1m Turf 2 2.3 78 79 Angld3p3/16;rallied
2026-02-12 GP 1.06m Dirt 8 20.0 63 85 Chased 2-3 wide; tired
2025-10-30 CD 1.13m Dirt 6 25.3 56 79 Vied 2wbtw;stdy3/4;wkn
2025-10-08 IND 1.06m Dirt 1 1.5 84 80 Bore out3/16;bid rail
2025-07-16 CNL 1m Turf 4 11.5 77 82 Ins-2p trn;no rally
2025-05-28 IND 1.04m Dirt 3 4.5 73 74 Awk;4p;bid1/4 rail
2025-04-17 GP 1.06m Turf 1 0.5 76 74 5p2nd;bid3/8;clr;held
2025-03-08 TAM 1.06m Turf 10 6.0 67 75 3p;came4w;lacked rally
2024-12-28 TAM 1.06m Turf 3 5.8 67 74 Rated3w;came4w;got 3rd
2024-10-19 KEE 1m Turf 7 3.8 73 76 2w;5p1/4;mildly btwn