John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 9

EPISIST

F '22 · OUTWORK × SILENT CANDY

Trainer: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M · Jockey: ASMUSSEN KEITH J

Today's prediction

76.7

Speed fig

32.0%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.63
  • Today Track Code +0.49
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.36
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.25
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.65
  • Today Post Position -0.48
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.36
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.28
  • Today Field Size -0.27

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-01 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 12.8 75 84 2p;bmp btw 3/8;mildly
2026-04-04 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 1.0 88 84 2p;bid btw1/4;4p upper
2025-12-19 OP 1m Dirt 4 9.3 77 82 Stumbled brk;flattened
2025-03-19 FG 1.06m Dirt 7 35.3 45 82 Brshd st;4-2p;no impct