John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 2

EPIC PROUD MARY

F '23 · INTO MISCHIEF × NIKKI AND PAPA

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

70.5

Speed fig

21.9%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.69
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 +0.45
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.34
  • Today Track Code +0.33
  • Distance Change From Last +0.32

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.17
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.53
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.17
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.95
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.51

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-11 KEE 7f Dirt 10 24.3 58 88 4-5p turn; no impact