John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 2

ELECTION NIGHT

C '23 · BOLT D'ORO × SARA'S GIRL

Trainer: RADOSEVICH SHELLY R · Jockey: ELLIOTT JANE

Today's prediction

70.5

Speed fig

21.4%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Post Position +0.20
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.20
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.18
  • Class Par Trend +0.17
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.14

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -3.92
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.71
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.39
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.38
  • Days Since Last Race -0.32

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-20 FG 6f Dirt 5 9.5 77 91 Never threatened
2026-02-01 FG 5.5f Turf 5 3.3 73 88 4w; 2p; no response
2026-01-03 FG 6f Dirt 1 4.3 80 83 Ins; adv3w; kick clear
2025-12-21 FG 1.04m Dirt 4 9.5 72 74 Tracked 5w; wknd
2025-12-06 FG 6f Dirt 4 2.5 74 77 Finished well 8w
2025-11-12 CD 6f Dirt 4 10.0 59 76 Prss 4w;kpt on;left ld
2025-10-23 KEE 7f Dirt 7 20.8 49 89 Off slow;lagged;outrun
2025-09-21 CD 6f Dirt 6 10.0 53 76 Step slow;ins-2p;yield
2025-08-17 ELP 6f Dirt 2 2.8 65 73 Stalked 4-3p; no match