John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 14

EAT HAY RUN

F '23 · CURLIN × STRUT THE COURSE

Trainer: WALSH BRENDAN P · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

78.4

Speed fig

29.8%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.79
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.65
  • Today Track Code +0.49
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.46
  • Weight Change From Last +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.12
  • Today Field Size -0.77
  • Today Post Position -0.41
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.22
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-12 KEE 1m Turf 2 2.0 76 81 Prss 2w;bid;led;caught
2026-02-07 GP 1m Turf 2 0.8 85 79 Rail trip; bid; outfin