John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
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PP 1

DYNAMIC PRICING

M '21 · NIGHT OF THUNDER × SHEMDA

Trainer: BROWN CHAD C · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

89.9

Speed fig

79.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.76
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.24
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.79
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.91
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.81

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.55
  • Starts Last 180d -0.30
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.22
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree -0.17
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-11 KEE 1.06m Turf 4 1.3 90 96 3p;brush 4p1/4;rallied
2025-10-04 KEE 1m Turf 7 3.8 88 97 Svd grnd;4p upr;imprvd
2025-08-29 SAR 1m Turf 1 1.0 97 92 3w uppr; up fin 70yds
2025-07-12 SAR 1.13m Turf 3 4.5 94 97 Inside turns;no rally
2025-06-06 SAR 1m Turf 1 0.8 86 97 5w upper; inched away
2025-05-04 BAQ 1.06m Turf 1 0.5 87 92 Floated 9-10w upper
2024-09-13 BAQ 1m Turf 3 0.5 80 86 3-4path;5p1/4;willing
2024-08-17 SAR 1.06m Turf 3 0.8 89 90 2-3p;5p1/4;good energy
2024-07-06 BAQ 1.19m Turf 7 5.0 83 94 Awkward st; no kick
2024-05-03 CD 1.06m Turf 1 0.5 94 90 5p upr;rally;drove pst