John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 8

DRY POWDER

F '22 · GUN RUNNER × TELL ALL

Trainer: SUMMERS CHAD · Jockey: DAVIS DYLAN

Today's prediction

91.0

Speed fig

28.0%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.06
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.19
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.66
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.18
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.08

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.57
  • Today Post Position -0.34
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.24
  • Today Field Size -0.23
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.20

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-12 GP 1m Dirt 1 5.8 96 90 Stumbled start; 4wd
2026-02-14 LRL 7f Dirt 3 6.3 91 96 Brk out;bmp;ins;fade
2025-11-01 DMR 1.13m Dirt 8 15.3 93 102 Forwardly 4w; faltered
2025-09-20 PRX 1.06m Dirt 2 0.3 98 100 Forced pace; led; game
2025-08-19 PRX 1.04m Dirt 1 4.3 95 90 Stalked; bid;edged off
2025-07-19 SAR 1.13m Dirt 3 21.5 79 100 Hit gate;inside turns
2025-06-22 BAQ 1m Dirt 2 0.1 82 88 Vied 3-2w btw; nailed
2025-05-01 BAQ 1m Dirt 2 1.3 78 86 Bobble st; caught
2025-03-16 GP 6f Dirt 1 0.3 88 86 2p;duel gamely;held