Derby 2026
← Race

PP 14

DROP SHOT

G '23 · ESSENTIAL QUALITY × CENTRE COURT

Trainer: ARNOLD GEORGE R II · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

76.3

Speed fig

17.1%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Dist Pedigree +0.21
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.12
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.11
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.02
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree +0.00

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.16
  • Max Speed Fig Career -0.79
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.68
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.53
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.32

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 KEE 1m Turf 3 4.5 80 87 2p;7p1/4;outkckd place
2026-02-08 GP 1m Turf 7 5.8 78 85 4wd; 8wd 3/16; no kick
2025-11-09 CD 1.06m Turf 4 0.8 74 83 5p2nd;bid;led;yld btw
2025-10-05 KEE 1m Turf 6 1.5 71 81 3-4p;6p upr;willingly
2025-08-30 KD 6f Turf 4 4.8 71 80 Off slw;6-w bid;mvd up