Derby 2026
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PP 2

DRAGOON GUARD

H '21 · ARROGATE × FILIMBI

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

95.4

Speed fig

40.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.40
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.17
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.16
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.80
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.58

Pushing prediction down

  • Last Speed Fig -0.12
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.10
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.08
  • Starts Last 60d -0.01
  • Starts Last 180d -0.00

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 CNL 1m Dirt 2 1.3 96 95 Willingly
2025-11-30 CD 1m Dirt 2 1.5 99 97 2p;shk clear;cght late
2025-10-25 KEE 1.13m Dirt 7 7.8 96 99 3-2wbtw;bid;dueld;wknd
2025-09-24 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 4.3 95 96 Ins foe;cleared;drivng
2025-08-28 IND 1.06m Dirt 2 0.1 97 91 Press;bid3/8;dueled
2025-05-22 CD 1m Dirt 2 0.5 93 95 Stlk 4p;bid 6p1/4;bstd
2024-09-21 PRX 1.13m Dirt 3 4.0 94 103 Inside trip;missed 2nd
2024-08-04 MNR 1.13m Dirt 1 2.8 91 97 Measured; had more ins
2024-07-06 IND 1.06m Dirt 1 2.5 93 97 Rail;led in hand;drvg
2024-06-02 CD 1m Dirt 1 3.3 91 90 Loose 2p; set down upr