John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 9

DONTWORRYBOUTNOTHN

G '22 · MUNNINGS × GUILTY VERDICT

Trainer: WARD WESLEY A · Jockey: TORRES VIMAEL

Today's prediction

75.8

Speed fig

33.5%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.94
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.90
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.57
  • Num Career Starts +0.46
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.41

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.13
  • Days Since Last Race -1.03
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.30
  • Today Post Position -0.28
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.19

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-07-16 SAR 5.5f Turf 6 8.3 75 87 Step slw;stumbled;4-5p
2025-04-25 KEE 6f Dirt 4 2.8 82 92 Step slw/bmp;ins;5p1/8