John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 7

DONA CLOTA

M '21 · IVAN DENISOVICH × DELFA

Trainer: JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

89.5

Speed fig

35.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.11
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.26
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.07
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.88
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.72

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.34
  • Distance Change From Last -0.25
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree -0.21
  • Last Finish Pos -0.19
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 1.50m Turf 7 5.0 97 92 Outrun inside
2026-02-28 GP 1.38m Turf 3 1.3 93 92 2wd; rallied between
2025-08-28 SAR 1.13m Turf 5 6.8 92 87 2-3p turns;no rally
2025-01-25 GP 1.06m Turf 10 12.0 78 94 Reluc load;bump st;ins
2024-11-01 *CP 1.49m Turf 1 3.0
2024-09-29 *CP 1.24m Turf 1 1.0
2024-09-01 *CP 1.24m Turf 1 6.0
2024-08-02 *CP 1.06m Turf 4 6.8
2024-06-28 *CP 8.0f Turf 3 5.0
2024-05-31 *CP 8.0f Turf 4 8.5