John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 3

DON'T BE SALTY

F '22 · AUDIBLE × SWEET SPELL

Trainer: SHARP JOE · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

76.6

Speed fig

52.7%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.49
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 +0.32
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.31
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.26
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.33
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.47
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.34
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.29
  • Trainer Meet Starts Log -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-19 KEE 1.13m Dirt 3 2.0 80 81 2wd;4-5p2nd;ran on
2026-03-09 FG 1m Dirt 4 5.5 77 77 Gain ins; 3w; out-fin
2026-02-05 FG 1.04m Dirt 2 0.8 70 75 5wstr; late rally
2026-01-08 FG 1m Dirt 1 6.5 73 73 Svgrnd; bid3/8; best
2025-03-03 FG 5.5f Turf 6 7.3 72 77 Inside; no impact