John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 5

DIXIE DEVIL

C '22 · DAREDEVIL × JULIE FROM DIXIE

Trainer: HUMPHRIES THOMAS · Jockey: MACHADO DYLAN

Today's prediction

76.9

Speed fig

25.6%

In-the-money

Last 8 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.71
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.37
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.29
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.21
  • Num Career Starts +0.19

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.52
  • BRIS Prime Power -0.49
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.34
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.26
  • Today Field Size -0.17

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-24 KEE 6f Dirt 4 6.3 80 87 Floatd;2p;bid shw;duel
2025-06-21 CD 1m Dirt 4 4.0 82 90 Inside;coaxed1/4;faded
2025-05-10 CD 6f Dirt 3 1.8 76 90 Step slow;8p upr;rally
2025-04-19 KEE 7f Dirt 2 7.3 78 93 Pull/climb early;3-4wd
2025-03-27 TP 6f Dirt 6 9.5 69 85 Taken out st; 2p upper
2025-02-14 TP 1m Dirt 6 12.0 69 84 Even to far turn empty
2024-11-30 CD 7f Dirt 7 16.8 78 84 4p;6p upr;no menace
2024-08-05 ELP 7f Dirt 2 1.0 72 76 4p3/8;aim;kept at bay