Derby 2026
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PP 5

DISRUPTOR

C '22 · GUN RUNNER × MARGATE GARDENS

Trainer: PLETCHER TODD A · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

93.6

Speed fig

25.2%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.35
  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.15
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.89
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.70
  • Last Speed Fig +0.58

Pushing prediction down

  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.28
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.10
  • Starts Last 180d -0.02
  • Quirin Speed Points -0.02
  • BRIS Turf Pedigree -0.00

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 TAM 1.06m Dirt 1 1.0 103 99 2-3p;dug in;edge clr
2026-01-31 TAM 7f Dirt 1 3.5 94 87 4p;bid1/4;kick clear
2025-03-29 GP 1.13m Dirt 5 10.5 83 103 Pinched st;2w;6w 3/16
2025-03-01 GP 7f Dirt 1 9.3 94 90 Chase;3p;drift;drw off
2025-01-25 GP 7f Dirt 3 2.0 86 90 3-2p;clear1/8;caught