John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 1

DISCO TIME

C '22 · NOT THIS TIME × DISCO CHICK

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

94.2

Speed fig

24.8%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.09
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.29
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +2.01
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.29
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.03

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.23
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate -0.16
  • Today Field Size -0.16
  • Tj Combo Win Rate 365d -0.15
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 TAM 1.06m Dirt 2 1.0 102 99 4p2nd;duel;chase on
2026-01-24 GP 1.13m Dirt 8 11.8 87 105 Rail; pace; retreated
2025-11-08 AQU 1m Dirt 1 9.8 91 92 Bumped st; went clear
2025-09-19 FPK 1.06m Dirt 1 5.5 103 94 2p; cued1/4; drew away
2025-01-18 FG 1.06m Dirt 1 0.3 88 97 3-5p;8p1/4;rallied;up
2024-11-30 CD 1m Dirt 1 3.5 92 85 Step slw;ins;inchd clr
2024-11-01 CD 7f Dirt 1 3.8 87 84 Press 3-2w;vied;cleard