John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 4

DIGITAL OPS

H '21 · NYQUIST × FLORA DORA

Trainer: JOSEPH SAFFIE A JR · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

90.5

Speed fig

34.2%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.40
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.74
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.35
  • Last Speed Fig +1.04
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.82

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.33
  • Today Track Code -0.20
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.18
  • Today Field Size -0.15
  • Class Par Trend -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-12 CNL 1.38m Dirt 1 2.3 98 92 Snow;3w lead;driving
2026-02-25 TAM 1.02m Dirt 2 1.5 86 90 Prsd pc;2-3p;chase on
2026-01-16 GP 1.06m Dirt 5 32.3 60 96 Sent 3wd; retreat ins
2025-09-20 PRX 1.50m Dirt 4 22.8 82 99 Led; gave way turn
2025-08-06 SAR 1.75m Dirt 2 1.0 106 97 2p-inside;headed 1/8
2025-07-12 SAR 1.13m Dirt 2 1.5 101 93 Ins;2p1/4;headed3/16
2025-06-08 SAR 1.13m Dirt 4 10.5 86 93 2p1st;3-4p2nd;5p1/4
2025-01-18 GP 1.06m Dirt 2 2.5 95 94 Ins;lost ld upr;1paced
2024-12-21 GP 1.06m Dirt 5 8.8 91 99 Sent2p-ins;yld stretch
2024-10-26 BAQ 1.19m Dirt 1 1.8 97 93 In hand ins; edged clr