John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 6

DIFFERENT GRAVY

C '23 · BOLT D'ORO × MISSOURIA

Trainer: KENNEALLY EDDIE · Jockey: LOVEBERRY JARETH

Today's prediction

76.4

Speed fig

12.6%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.62
  • Last Finish Pos +0.32
  • Last Speed Fig +0.27
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.27
  • Class Par Trend +0.21

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -1.21
  • Distance Change From Last -0.63
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.62
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean -0.49
  • Today Field Size -0.44

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-26 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 1.0 84 89 Ins trio 2nd;held firm
2026-03-05 FG 1.04m Dirt 2 4.0 82 84 Angl 4w;2nd best
2026-01-17 FG 1.06m Dirt 5 12.5 73 92 Svgrnd; press; faded
2025-12-21 FG 1.04m Dirt 1 8.8 83 74 Led throughout; best
2025-11-29 CD 7f Dirt 8 23.5 66 84 3p; no menace