Derby 2026
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PP 4

DIAGRAM

F '22 · LIAM'S MAP × RAISON D'ETRE

Trainer: CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET · Jockey: CONCEPCION AXEL

Today's prediction

75.2

Speed fig

38.6%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.2 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Days Since Last Race +0.49
  • Prior Starts At Churchill +0.07
  • Class Par Trend +0.05
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree +0.03
  • Run Style E +0.02

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -5.35
  • Max Speed Fig Career -1.00
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.49
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.47
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.32

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-07-04 ELP 6f Dirt 3 4.8 77 78 2p;collared 1/8;yieldd
2025-06-05 CD 5.5f Turf 6 3.5 74 82 Off slow;belatedly btw
2024-11-02 CD 6f Dirt 3 4.5 77 81 Stalk 3-4p;dueld place
2024-10-10 KEE 6f Dirt 2 3.0 74 86 Ins;shk free;cght 1/16
2024-09-08 KD 6.5f Turf 6 11.0 67 78 Brke out;bmpd;btwn;wkn
2024-08-10 ELP 5f Dirt 2 1.3 78 74 Drew clear 1/8;yielded