John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 1

DIAGRAM

F '22 · LIAM'S MAP × RAISON D'ETRE

Trainer: CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET · Jockey: HERNANDEZ B J JR

Today's prediction

77.7

Speed fig

46.2%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.97
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.36
  • Today Post Position +0.21
  • Num Career Starts +0.18
  • Distance Change From Last +0.17

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.65
  • Today Field Size -0.53
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.31
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.26
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.21

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-29 CD 6f Dirt 5 8.0 77 82 2p;headed btw1/8;faded
2025-07-04 ELP 6f Dirt 3 4.8 77 78 2p;collared 1/8;yieldd
2025-06-05 CD 5.5f Turf 6 3.5 74 82 Off slow;belatedly btw
2024-11-02 CD 6f Dirt 3 4.5 77 81 Stalk 3-4p;dueld place
2024-10-10 KEE 6f Dirt 2 3.0 74 86 Ins;shk free;cght 1/16
2024-09-08 KD 6.5f Turf 6 11.0 67 78 Brke out;bmpd;btwn;wkn
2024-08-10 ELP 5f Dirt 2 1.3 78 74 Drew clear 1/8;yielded