John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 7

DEWY'S DENALI

G '23 · VIOLENCE × SNOW TOP MOUNTAIN

Trainer: GONZALEZ REINA E · Jockey: BESCHIZZA ADAM

Today's prediction

65.1

Speed fig

33.8%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 +0.46
  • Today Track Code +0.31
  • Class Par Trend +0.25
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 +0.18
  • Speed Fig Consistency +0.18

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -7.51
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -1.22
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.88
  • Last Speed Fig -0.63
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.60

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 1.06m Dirt 5 32.3 46 87 5p; no factor
2026-03-27 TP 1m Dirt 5 8.8 71 86 Ins;4p3/16;no factor
2026-02-12 TP 1m Dirt 7 8.0 70 81 Stalked 2p-ins; no bid
2025-12-18 TP 1m Dirt 1 2.0 67 74 Gamely cleared late
2025-10-01 IND 1m Turf 7 11.5 53 72 Sqzd;improved late5p
2025-08-27 IND 1m Turf 10 12.5 56 71 Imp st;bid3p5/16;faltr