John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R7

PP 9

DEEP FLAME

C '23 · INTO MISCHIEF × BARBADIA

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

91.3

Speed fig

69.9%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.83
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.98
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.36
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.11
  • Last Speed Fig +0.84

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Field Size -0.43
  • Today Post Position -0.32
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.16
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.15
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.14

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 KEE 6.5f Dirt 2 0.5 98 93 2w;led;dug in 1/8;game
2026-02-14 FG 6f Dirt 2 6.3 83 90 Crowded;angl 3w;2d bst