John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R2

PP 2

DECADENT

F '22 · GIRVIN × ONE MORE MINUTE

Trainer: MCPEEK KENNETH G · Jockey: SAEZ LUIS

Today's prediction

84.3

Speed fig

40.3%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.84
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.79
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.67
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.66
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.47

Pushing prediction down

  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.19
  • Today Field Size -0.15
  • Class Par Trend -0.14
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.10
  • Weight Change From Last -0.09

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-06 OP 1.06m Dirt 3 2.8 86 88 Track 3-4p; stayed on
2026-02-15 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 1.5 83 88 2p-ins;cued5/16;ran on
2025-12-28 OP 6f Dirt 5 5.3 80 88 Back btwn;3w;improved
2025-11-27 CD 1m Dirt 2 2.0 86 Brk out;3p;bid 2w;duel
2025-10-18 BAQ 1.13m Turf 7 4.8 80 89 2-4p 2d;6w upr;no gain
2025-09-20 BAQ 1m Turf 3 2.0 82 88 Saved grd; mild kick
2025-08-19 PRX 1.04m Dirt 10 13.3 79 90 Wide; no response
2025-03-01 OP 1.06m Dirt 1 3.0 90 86 Good energy widest
2024-12-29 GP 7f Dirt 1 3.3 82 80 Track;3p trn;drove clr