John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R9

PP 7

DEBBY'S GAL

F '23 · ARMY MULE × SECRET ACTION

Trainer: BALTAS RICHARD · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

70.0

Speed fig

28.3%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Today Track Code +0.42
  • Weight Change From Last +0.27
  • Class Par Trend +0.23
  • Field Avg Quirin +0.23
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.22

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.39
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.09
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.86
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.53
  • Today Field Size -0.52

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-17 KEE 7f Dirt 5 25.0 55 88 Chased 4p;faded btw1/4
2026-02-20 SA 6f Dirt 4 3.8 73 86 Stalk inside; no rally
2025-11-02 DMR 6f Dirt 3 4.3 79 74 Bmpd st;4-3wd;held3rd
2025-10-17 SA 6.5f Dirt 3 0.8 78 74 2w;bid upr;led past1/8
2025-09-20 LRC 6.5f Dirt 3 6.0 74 84 Stp slw;4-5w;churnd on