John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 2

DASHMAN

H '21 · OSCAR PERFORMANCE × FLY BY

Trainer: LYNCH BRIAN A · Jockey: ROSARIO JOEL

Today's prediction

89.7

Speed fig

22.4%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.53
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.29
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.04
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.98
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.75

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.48
  • Distance Change From Last -0.33
  • Num Career Starts -0.22
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.14
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 1.50m Turf 5 4.8 101 95 Pressed2-3w;wknd 1/8
2026-02-28 GP 1.06m Turf 4 3.8 88 92 3-4wd; one-paced lane
2025-08-03 ELP 1.25m Turf 7 3.0 95 95 3-2w;bid btw;yield1/16
2025-01-25 GP 1.50m Turf 1 0.1 88 95 In clr ins;3w bid;game
2024-11-23 CD 1.06m Turf 7 4.0 83 91 Stalk ins;2p2nd;no bid
2024-10-05 BAQ 1.38m Turf 4 2.0 89 91 Ins-2p;4p1/4;path takn
2024-09-01 KD 1.31m Turf 1 2.5 92 91 Track2-3w;bid;clear
2024-07-22 ELP 1.13m Turf 1 1.3 84 86 2wbtw;3w2nd;clear;held
2023-12-23 GP 1.06m Turf 2 0.8 81 79 Bump btw start; 3-4wd
2023-11-04 CD 1m Turf 3 2.5 77 84 3-4w;ranged up;chased