John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 9

DARK RYE

G '23 · COMPLEXITY × BONITA BLONDE

Trainer: LOVELL MICHELLE · Jockey: SHEEHY DANNY

Today's prediction

65.5

Speed fig

18.8%

In-the-money

Last 1 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.37
  • Num Career Starts +0.12
  • Quirin Speed Points +0.08
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.05
  • Mean Finish Pos Last 5 +0.05

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -4.35
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.70
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.68
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean -0.57
  • Distance Change From Last -0.46

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 6f Dirt 8 14.8 67 86 2wd;btw;4p upr;tired