John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 2

DARE TO FLY

F '22 · DAREDEVIL × DEE DEE BERTIE

Trainer: ENNIS JOHN · Jockey: BEJARANO R

Today's prediction

84.2

Speed fig

25.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.58
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.03
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.72
  • Last Speed Fig +0.69
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.67

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Purse Log10 -0.66
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.15
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.13
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.12
  • Num Career Starts -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-18 OP 6f Dirt 1 1.8 93 Rail1/4;4p lane;clear
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 1 0.5 84 91 Traffc1/4;steer out;up
2026-02-15 SA 6.5f Turf 7 6.0 83 86 Steady early;3-4w;wknd
2026-01-18 SA 6f Turf 2 0.5 89 86 2wd; dug in too late
2025-11-23 DMR 5f Turf 3 1.0 88 86 2-3w;angld out;gain3rd
2025-10-26 SA 6.5f Turf 2 0.1 87 88 Bid ins;led;outgamed
2025-09-28 SA 6f Turf 2 3.3 87 88 2wd; no bid; held 2nd
2025-09-05 DMR 6.5f Dirt 4 8.5 87 95 2wd-ins-3wd;no rally
2025-07-13 ELP 7f Dirt 3 3.0 79 Vied btw;lng drv;faltr
2025-05-31 CD 1.06m Dirt 7 15.8 77 87 4-3p1st;chsd 2nd;wknd