John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 4

DANZIG'S DORA

F '23 · HARD SPUN × DORA DORA

Trainer: KENNEALLY EDDIE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

81.2

Speed fig

53.8%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +2.98
  • Today Track Code +0.64
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.59
  • Today Field Size +0.30
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.25

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.01
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate -0.14
  • Trainer Meet Win Rate -0.14
  • Distance Change From Last -0.11
  • Days Since Last Race -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-28 CD 6f Dirt 4 4.5 81 85 Stalked 4p; no bid
2026-04-09 KEE 6f Dirt 4 4.3 80 85 Bmpd st;ins;outkck1/16
2026-02-22 FG 6f Dirt 1 0.5 78 79 Stalk3w; bid; on task
2026-01-15 FG 6f Dirt 1 12.3 76 74 Press3w; bid; best
2025-12-18 FG 1m Turf 5 9.0 63 70 Mid pack; 6w; no rally
2025-11-14 CD 1m Turf 11 15.0 59 79 4w1st;2-3p;came4w;wknd