John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 5

DANCIN IN DA'NILE

G '19 · PIONEEROF THE NILE × DANCE AGAIN

Trainer: COX GAIL · Jockey: GEROUX FLORENT

Today's prediction

91.4

Speed fig

50.7%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.81
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.64
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.31
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.30
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.16

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -0.47
  • Num Career Starts -0.43
  • Starts Last 180d -0.32
  • Jockey Meet Itm Rate -0.18
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2025-11-02 WO 1.38m Turf 3 2.5 97 91 Off rail; kept on show
2025-10-04 WO 1.50m Turf 4 2.3 93 103 7w 1/8;kept on late
2025-09-06 WO 1.38m Turf 3 2.0 93 96 Stalked pair;swung 6wd
2025-08-02 WO 1.25m Turf 2 4.0 104 93 6wd into str;late gain
2025-06-28 WO 1.13m Dirt 7 9.0 90 96 Failed to fire stretch
2025-05-31 WO 1.06m Dirt 4 4.8 86 97 Late energy;fringes
2025-03-22 FG 1.13m Turf 10 8.3 82 97 Ins-2p; no impact
2024-12-07 WO 1.50m Dirt 4 6.8 90 96 Traffic early;2-4wide
2024-11-02 WO 1.38m Turf 1 1.5 92 93 When asked drew off
2024-10-05 WO 1.38m Turf 4 2.8 105 93 Bmps btw brk;near insd