John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R4

PP 5

DANCE SOME MO

G '18 · UNCLE MO × DANCE AGAIN

Trainer: VAN BERG THOMAS L · Jockey: ARRIETA FRANCISCO

Today's prediction

85.5

Speed fig

33.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +3.04
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.59
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.08
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.76
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.65

Pushing prediction down

  • Num Career Starts -0.24
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.16
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.13
  • Today Field Size -0.11
  • Weight Change From Last -0.08

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-25 OP 1m Dirt 4 3.8 84 95 Bump st; 3-5p; 1paced
2026-03-28 OP 1.06m Dirt 7 5.8 79 95 Rated 5-4p; no close
2026-02-16 OP 1m Dirt 5 6.0 82 95 3p; rail5/16; no close
2026-01-03 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 0.3 91 95 4w1/4;bid;led;outkickd
2025-12-12 OP 1.06m Dirt 2 0.5 92 95 3w; steady gain
2025-11-15 CD 1.13m Dirt 6 4.3 91 88 2-3w;shift 5w;kept on
2025-10-22 IND 1.06m Dirt 1 0.5 85 89 Bid3p1/2;duel;driving
2025-09-28 CD 1m Dirt 3 1.5 90 90 3pbtw;bid;vied;svd shw
2025-09-09 IND 1m Dirt 2 6.8 78 89 Bid4p3/8;no match
2025-08-18 IND 1m Turf 5 3.5 77 84 Inside;bid5p3/8;closed