John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 5

CY FAIR

F '23 · NOT THIS TIME × REMARQUED

Trainer: WEAVER GEORGE · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

93.5

Speed fig

15.9%

In-the-money

Last 5 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.60
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +3.13
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.22
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.15
  • Last Speed Fig +0.98

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.30
  • Today Purse Log10 -0.28
  • Days Since Last Race -0.17
  • Today Field Size -0.16
  • Starts Last 180d -0.15

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-10 KEE 5.5f Turf 3 0.8 96 90 Ins wnnr;dueld;fght on
2025-10-31 DMR 5f Turf 1 1.0 101 98 Chsd btwn;2w;clear1/16
2025-10-05 WO 5f Turf 1 3.3 93 88 Strong run; kick away
2025-08-17 SAR 5.5f Turf 2 0.3 89 85 Press 2p btw; caught
2025-07-10 SAR 5.5f Turf 1 3.3 84 81 Chased 3-2w; burst clr