John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R10

PP 4

CULTURE WAR

C '22 · WAR OF WILL × MORE FUN AGAIN

Trainer: MEDINA ROBERT · Jockey: ALVARADO JUNIOR

Today's prediction

77.9

Speed fig

39.9%

In-the-money

Last 9 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +0.87
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.44
  • Today Track Code +0.27
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.22
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.49
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.39
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.19
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 -0.19
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Mean -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-05-01 CD 1m Turf 7 5.5 77 87 Bmpd;bothered after st
2026-03-18 TP 1.06m Dirt 7 17.0 63 87 Stalked ins; faded 1/4
2026-01-02 TP 6.5f Dirt 4 2.8 80 85 Ins;place bid;need mor
2025-02-15 TP 1m Dirt 5 10.3 64 84 Tracked 3/4s empty str
2025-01-18 TP 1m Dirt 11 14.0 58 84 Btwn early; stopped;
2024-11-30 CD 1m Turf 2 0.8 81 85 3wd;bid 1/4;led;bested
2024-11-03 CD 1.06m Dirt 11 46.3 30 86 Snug hold ins;wknd 2nd
2024-10-05 KEE 1m Turf 5 7.0 68 80 3-2wd;btw;5p1/8;no bid
2024-09-01 KD 1m Turf 3 4.5 73 76 3-4p;6w1/4;needed mre