John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R6

PP 13

CULPRIT

g '21 · JUSTIFY × HENNY JENNEY

Trainer: WARD WESLEY A · Jockey: CORRALES GERARDO

Today's prediction

78.2

Speed fig

37.3%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.08
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.07
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.91
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.75
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.58

Pushing prediction down

  • Days Since Last Race -1.37
  • Today Track Code -0.47
  • Last Finish Pos -0.41
  • Today Post Position -0.40
  • Today Field Size -0.40

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2024-10-25 KEE 1.19m Turf 11 14.8 73 91 2-3w;brshd btw1/4;wknd
2024-09-19 CD 1.06m Dirt 10 7.0 86 95 Up close;4p turn;faded
2024-07-28 ELP 1.13m Dirt 2 0.3 90 92 Vied ins;led;game;cght
2024-06-23 CD 1.06m Dirt 1 0.3 81 90 2w;cleared;lug in;held
2024-05-04 CD 6.5f Dirt 3 3.3 90 91 Bumped foe; bid; hung
2023-07-23 WO 6.5f Turf 7 7.5 64 82 Step slow;ins;bmpd str
2023-06-22 BEL 5f Turf 4 2.5 78 84 Outside;3-2p turn;wknd