John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 7

CROWN THE BUCKEYE

C '23 · YAUPON × FEISTY TOMBOY

Trainer: MAKER MICHAEL J · Jockey: PRAT FLAVIEN

Today's prediction

88.8

Speed fig

28.5%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +6.12
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.09
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.06
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.94
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.84

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Track Code -0.39
  • Today Field Size -0.22
  • Field Size Change From Last -0.21
  • Today Post Position -0.17
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.13

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-28 AQU 1m Dirt 2 1.0 94 97 Hit gate st; 2nd best
2026-01-17 FG 1.06m Dirt 8 8.5 78 97 Pace btw; yld1/2; fade
2025-12-20 FG 1.06m Dirt 3 1.0 84 93 Pace; wknd 1/16
2025-10-25 MVR 1.06m Dirt 1 4.3 90 86 Bid 3/8; drew clr late
2025-08-14 TDN 6f Dirt 1 12.3 96 84 Much the best
2025-07-18 BTP 5.5f Dirt 2 2.3 76 81 Set pace; best of rest