John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R1

PP 6

CROMWELL

C '22 · QUALITY ROAD × BOREALIS NIGHT

Trainer: DEVAUX CHERIE · Jockey: ORTIZ JOSE L

Today's prediction

81.4

Speed fig

40.1%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +1.54
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.84
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.56
  • Today Track Code +0.42
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.41

Pushing prediction down

  • Field Size Change From Last -0.27
  • Today Field Size -0.20
  • Field Early Speed Count -0.12
  • Best Finish Pos Career -0.11
  • Starts Last 180d -0.11

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-07 FG 1.06m Dirt 2 4.5 86 86 2w;angl 3w 1/4;2d best
2025-08-28 SAR 1.13m Turf 10 8.0 74 88 Bmp aftr st;2-4p2nd;7p
2025-05-03 CD 1.06m Dirt 4 3.5 80 90 Swung wide; gaining
2025-02-15 FG 1.06m Dirt 4 9.0 77 88 Trck ins;chsd;lost shw
2025-01-18 FG 1.06m Dirt 2 2.5 89 87 Ins;3-2p2nd;rallied
2024-12-21 FG 1.06m Dirt 2 0.1 81 85 Brkout;6p1/4;rally;mss
2024-10-06 KEE 7f Dirt 3 6.5 75 89 4-5p;chasd;up shw late