John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R3

PP 6

COULDYOUBELOVED

F '22 · AMERICAN FREEDOM × SWEET ELLA

Trainer: FOSTER ERIC · Jockey: SAEZ GABRIEL

Today's prediction

70.9

Speed fig

50.6%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.25
  • Weight Change From Last +0.21
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.19
  • Today Field Size +0.18
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.10

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -2.40
  • Distance Change From Last -0.82
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.62
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.46
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.41

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-15 KEE 6.5f Dirt 4 7.5 64 82 Ins;ask 2p turn;no bid
2026-03-20 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 0.8 77 76 Ins;3p1/8;bid btw;edge
2026-02-26 TP 1m Dirt 5 11.5 71 78 Pressed winner; faded
2026-01-09 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 5.5 72 79 3p btw;5p3/16;ran on
2025-12-26 TP 6f Dirt 2 1.5 80 78 Rail bid3/8;grudgingly
2025-10-03 BTP 1m Turf 3 3.8 74 77 Duel;clear;tired late
2025-08-27 IND 1m Turf 2 2.3 68 71 Duel;clear;duel;caught
2025-08-07 BTP 1m Turf 5 7.5 72 70 3wd;chased;weakened
2025-02-13 TP 6.5f Dirt 4 8.3 52 77 Slow stride; no menace
2025-01-01 TP 6.5f Dirt 1 0.3 67 68 Ran on to prevail