John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 7

COTILLARD

F '22 · TEMPLE CITY × DUEL FOOL

Trainer: SEGLIN LUIS E · Jockey: MEZA JJ

Today's prediction

70.1

Speed fig

9.0%

In-the-money

Last 11 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +0.50
  • Last Speed Fig +0.48
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.39
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.33
  • BRIS Dist Pedigree +0.23

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -6.22
  • Field Size Change From Last -1.20
  • Distance Change From Last -0.71
  • Today Field Size -0.42
  • Mean Pace 4f Last 5 -0.29

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-30 CD 6f Dirt 2 3.8 78 91 Trail ins;mvd up late
2026-03-18 TP 6f Dirt 6 6.0 68 79 Stalked 3p; tired btwn
2026-02-28 TP 6f Dirt 5 5.5 80 88 Ins;3w btw1/16;bid 4th
2026-02-14 TP 6.5f Dirt 8 9.0 72 88 Saved ground; tired
2026-01-03 TP 6.5f Dirt 4 7.0 79 88 4-6p;left ld;outkk btw
2025-12-04 TP 6f Dirt 6 5.0 76 82 Stubled badly start
2025-11-22 CD 1m Turf 8 7.5 76 86 Saved ground; no avail
2025-11-03 IND 1m Turf 3 1.5 75 80 Duel;4path str;yielded
2025-10-15 KEE 5.5f Turf 7 5.0 75 87 Saved ground; improved
2025-09-07 KD 7f Turf 7 3.8 74 87 Ins;angld 1/4;no rally
2025-08-04 ELP 6f Dirt 5 6.0 70 84 Ins;4p btw3/16;no thrt