John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R11

PP 1

CORRUPTION

G '21 · MEDAGLIA D'ORO × THUNDERING SKY

Trainer: CASSE MARK · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

93.1

Speed fig

38.3%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +8.38
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.79
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.32
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.19
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +1.03

Pushing prediction down

  • Distance Change From Last -0.41
  • Today Track Code -0.41
  • Num Career Starts -0.30
  • Mean Speed Fig Career -0.15
  • Field Avg Quirin -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-28 GP 1.50m Turf 2 0.3 105 95 Ins;clear;caught late
2025-11-08 CD 1.13m Turf 5 6.3 95 95 Press winner;faded btw
2025-09-06 KD 1.50m Turf 3 4.3 93 97 Off rail; held show
2025-07-30 SAR 1.38m Turf 1 3.0 94 91 4-3p1st;heat-distress
2025-06-08 SAR 1.13m Turf 4 5.0 93 100 Off 1/2 slw; kept on
2025-05-10 CD 1.13m Turf 1 1.3 94 91 Ins foe2nd;cleard;safe
2025-03-29 GP 1.50m Turf 2 0.3 93 95 Rail; pace; fought on
2025-03-02 GP 1.50m Turf 1 0.3 87 91 Rail;up 2w 1/4;dug in
2025-01-26 GP 1m Turf 1 0.8 83 86 Rail trip; up late
2025-01-12 GP 1m Turf 1 0.5 83 79 Ins-3p;herd out1/16;up